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2024-12-13 05:28:11

Yesterday, after-hours heavy meeting enlarged the move, Hong Kong stocks and A50 futures index rose violently, and even the mid-night stocks rose by more than 8%, and the market was full of fanatical voices. However, Lao Liu is still calm, suggesting that there is a high probability of going high and going low, and it should be dealt with by high throwing and low sucking. Today, the market opened higher and closed the false negative line, which once again verified my judgment. Will the stock market continue to fall tomorrow?In terms of the performance of individual stocks and sectors, today's high opening and low going are not unexpected in terms of technology. After all, it is not a good thing to expect too much consensus. In addition, yesterday's news blockade was quite strict, but the net outflow of domestic institutions was as high as 70 billion, and they would not chase after the empty space, so it is understandable to wash the dishes today.In terms of sectors, the mapping direction of Hong Kong stocks, such as finance, consumption and Internet technology, led the gains yesterday, but the traditional industries basically turned green, with coal, railways and highways and precious metals leading the declines. Most of the plates and themes in it are high-opening and low-walking, and the only eye-catching thing is that the robot has turned from weak to strong again. It can be said that today it is not cheat people to suck only in this direction.


In terms of sectors, the mapping direction of Hong Kong stocks, such as finance, consumption and Internet technology, led the gains yesterday, but the traditional industries basically turned green, with coal, railways and highways and precious metals leading the declines. Most of the plates and themes in it are high-opening and low-walking, and the only eye-catching thing is that the robot has turned from weak to strong again. It can be said that today it is not cheat people to suck only in this direction.Reason 2: the market style is still quite chaotic, and the main line of robots is difficult to support. Originally, it was expected that the blue chip and the white horse would set up a stage, and then the theme line would sing. As a result, today, both the weak robots and the food consumption with high opening and low walking showed signs of stagflation, and then it was crucial. Once these two new main lines were exhausted, it was estimated that they would face a chaotic cycle of rotation again.If it is only in the direction, don't touch those that have risen recently. Be careful of the strong stocks to make up for the decline. It is the last word to lurk around the direction of good fundamentals and stagflation!


Reason one: the favorable expectations of the conference still exist, and it is difficult for the market to fall sharply under the stability. In fact, as I said in the morning post, expectations are always expectations, which are good in the medium and long term, but too strong short-term consistency can easily lead to a rebellious market. After all, this market is still driven by funds, otherwise it will be moderately relaxed in 11 years, and it will not be doubled after 14 years of wide credit!To sum up, the price trend contains all the information, so it is not suitable to accelerate directly here, and there is no basis for a big drop, so the next big probability is the time to oscillate and adjust the rhythm. Considering that the overall upward trend of the market index remains unchanged, it will continue to hit a new high after the shock, so we should take the initiative to pick up the chips thrown high on dips.Reason 2: the market style is still quite chaotic, and the main line of robots is difficult to support. Originally, it was expected that the blue chip and the white horse would set up a stage, and then the theme line would sing. As a result, today, both the weak robots and the food consumption with high opening and low walking showed signs of stagflation, and then it was crucial. Once these two new main lines were exhausted, it was estimated that they would face a chaotic cycle of rotation again.

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